GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks and commodities recoup some of their losses, but growth concerns cloud the picture

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks and commodities recoup some of their losses, but growth concerns cloud the picture

Across Asia, share indexes recovered from the day’s losses. The Nikkei lost 0.4%, Australian shares shed 1.1%, Korean stocks lost 0.5% and Taiwan equities edged up 0.1%. MSCI’s Asian benchmark fell to the lowest since early July 2020. Chinese equities are the worst performers among major markets so far this year, recording losses of between 21 and 25%. Singapore and Indonesian stock indexes have, however, remained steady. Growth worries resurfaced after central banks in the United States, Britain and Australia raised interest rates last week and investors girded for more tightening as policymakers fight soaring inflation. Hong Kong’s benchmark share index returned from a one-day holiday sharply lower on Tuesday and slumped more than 4% before halving losses. On Monday, Shanghai and Beijing tightened COVID-19 curbs which have already taken a heavy toll on the world’s second-largest economy. China’s export growth slowed to its weakest in almost two years, data showed, as the central bank pledged to step up support for the slowing economy Overnight, U.S. stocks extended Friday’s bruising sell-off as investors rushed to protect themselves against the prospect of a weakening economy.

On Tuesday, Asian stocks fell to their lowest level in over two years, before recovering some of their losses, as investors worried about the toxic combination of rising interest rates and sluggish economic growth. Gains in US stock futures, which had been dropping, helped to boost morale. Futures on the S&P 500 and Dow Jones both increased by 0.6 percent, while Nasdaq futures increased by 1.3 percent. Fears of a recession and a Chinese slowdown weighed on commodity-linked currencies and oil prices, while safety flows held the dollar around 20-year highs. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities outside of Japan fell 0.8 percent in the early afternoon, but it recovered from earlier losses. The benchmark had dropped as much as 2.3 percent to 515.7, extending losses for the seventh straight session. “Chinese growth is facing significant headwinds, whether you look at official or private sector Purchasing Managers’ Index,” said Song Seng Wun, an economist at CIMB Private Banking. “Softening global growth is the persistent wall of worry for markets as investors look beyond the next 3-6 months. The view on growth momentum seems to be that revenge spending after the pandemic may be affected by higher borrowing costs,” he said.

“The idea of a benign and gentle tightening cycle has evaporated,” ANZ analysts said in a report. “The reality is that the Fed cannot control the supply side of the economy in the short-run, so as long as key indicators like the labor force participation rate stay low and Chinese exports slow, the risk to inflation, and therefore interest rates, lies to the upside.” Oil prices retreated again on demand worries as coronavirus lockdowns in China, the top oil importer continued. Brent crude fell 0.9% to $105 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude declined 1% to $102 a barrel, adding to a 6% slump in the previous session. Both contracts are still up about 35% so far this year. Commodity-linked currencies including the Australian and Canadian currencies took a beating as oil prices fell. The Australian dollar dropped as low as $0.6920, its weakest since July 2020, having fallen 1.7% overnight. Lower oil prices also hit the Canadian dollar, which eased to C$1.3037 per dollar, its weakest since November 2020. The dollar index eased 0.2% to 103.5, having risen as high as 104.19 overnight, a fresh 20-year peak. U.S. Treasury yields, which have climbed sharply on expectations of aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve, took a breather after Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic pushed back on suggestions of a massive 75 basis point rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting.

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