Global Structured Finance Midyear Outlook 2021: Issuance Forecast Raised to $1.4 Trillion

Global Structured Finance Midyear Outlook 2021: Issuance Forecast Raised to $1.4 Trillion

Full-year Six months ended June 30 2021 (updated)

Global Securitization Structured Finance Issuance(i) We believe conditions remain favorable for structured finance issuance through year-end as the recovery from the pandemic progresses. The negative effects of the pandemic appear to be subsiding in most structured finance markets, but new variants and infection waves pose credit and issuance risks. Structured finance ratings have held up relatively well overall, even though the aggregate ratings migration turned negative (especially for CMBS, which was the worst-affected sector). Corporate and commercial real estate credit performance metrics also deteriorated but are now bouncing back. Meanwhile, consumer credit performance has been more benign, though ongoing policy support could be masking underlying pressures. For more detail, see “2020 Annual Global Structured Finance Default And Rating Transition Study,” published May 13, 2021, and “Global Structured Finance: Charting The Recovery From COVID-19,” published June 14, 2021.

Forecasts By region, the U.S, Europe, China, Australia, and Latin America saw considerable year-over-year gains during the first half, while Japan posted modest growth and Canada saw declines (see table 1 and the sections below for more details).

2019 2020 2020

2021 2021 (original)

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