Powell says the US job market is consistent with maximum employment

Nervous markets fold as Powell signals they must go it alone

“Most FOMC participants agree that labor market conditions are consistent with maximum employment in the sense of the highest level of employment that is consistent with price stability,” Powell said on a conference call with reporters following the FOMC meeting. “And that is my personal view.”

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that U.S. labor market conditions are steady with greatest business, an achievement that comes almost two years after the pandemic previously wiped out more than 22 million jobs. The Fed is entrusted with a dual mandate of accomplishing both price stability and greatest employment. Throughout recent months, costs have been increasing great over the Fed’s 2% aim rate, however central bankers have held off on removing policy support in order to give the labor market more time to recuperate.

In December, Powell said that it would keep rates near zero until “labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee’s assessments of maximum employment.” He, along with some of his colleagues, have said repeatedly that they’re seeking a “broad-based and inclusive” labor market recovery.

On Wednesday, Powell said the central bank was ready to raise interest rates in March. The Fed also said it would shrink its bond holdings after liftoff has begun, moving toward ending ultra-easy pandemic support to fight the hottest inflation in a generation.

While the Fed hasn’t explicitly spelled out how it defines maximum employment, current labor market data suggest that the measurement is based on broad statistics rather than individual demographic categories.

Nationally, the unemployment rate has been falling for six straight months, job openings are near a record high and more than 6 million jobs were added in 2021 alone. Overall, the U.S. has recovered nearly 85% of the jobs lost at the beginning of the pandemic.

But current data also point to widespread inequality.

The unemployment rate for Black Americans is more than double that of White Americans, and it rose in December while the rates for other major demographic groups declined. Unemployment rates among Black, Hispanic and Asian Americans are higher than the rate for Whites.

With inflation taking over the conversation among both policymakers and central bankers, prioritizing those employment disparities will prove difficult in the coming months as monetary policy becomes less accommodative.

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