Stocks peak with the US and China leading the recovery

Stocks peak with the US and China leading the recovery

FTSE futures and EuroSTOXX 50 futures climbed 0.8%. The S&P 500 closed Monday at a record peak and futures dipped 0.2% on Tuesday. [.N] On the heels of a bumper U.S. jobs report on Good Friday, March data showed services activity hit a record high. China’s service sector has also gathered steam with the sharpest increase in sales in three months.

World equities briefly touched an all-time peak in Asia as 1% gains in tech-heavy Taiwan’s market and Australia’s miner and bank heavy bourse followed rises on Wall Street. Profit-taking pushed Japan’s Nikkei down 1% and dragged on the Shanghai Composite, though European futures rose ahead of the first trading session after Easter. “On aggregate, it’s good for the global economy and therefore that’s a justification to move into more cyclical-sensitive FX pairs and to buy stocks in general,” said Kyle Rodda, market analyst at brokerage IG in Melbourne.

“Yields haven’t budged much and so tech stocks have outperformed,” he said. The yield on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries fell 1.7 basis points to 1.6897%, while the U.S. dollar has mostly missed out on a big bounce from the strong data and held at $1.1810 per euro after posting its steepest drop in weeks.

Elsewhere, Credit Suisse sought to draw a line under its exposure to the implosion of hedge fund Archegos Capital announcing the debacle would cost it about $4.7 billion and two senior executives their jobs. STEADY STATE The steadying Treasury yields and greenback follow a charge higher over the first quarter, with an 83 basis point rise in 10-year yields, the biggest quarterly gain in a dozen years, and a 3.6% rise in the dollar index – the sharpest since 2018.

“Bonds have settled down now,” said Omkar Joshi, portfolio manager at Opal Capital Management in Sydney, after a hard and fast selloff. “I think markets can keep powering on from here.” Minutes from the March meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, due on Wednesday, are the next focus for bond markets, although they will not address the most recent data surprises and markets have run far ahead of Fed projections for years of low rates. Fed funds futures have priced in a hike next year while eurodollar markets have it priced by December.

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