Case counts trending down So what do scientists have to say about COVID cases, hospitalizations and our future with COVID? Cases appear to be trending down but with the rise of rapid home tests, the total number of cases is probably much higher than reported.
With cases still high across the U.S., Wiesner wants to be able to travel to attend a wedding this year but he’s not yet comfortable making travel plans. The future feels too uncertain. Cases appear to be declining across the Bay Area but health officials aren’t yet ready to declare that the surge is over.
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“I want the science to lead me,” Wiesner said. In San Mateo County, where Wiesner lives and co-owns the Reach and Teach bookstore with husband Derrick Kikuchi, there are signs that the COVID-19 surge fueled by cases of the more-contagious omicron variant may be declining, with cases plateauing in the last week.
“It’s a little difficult to compare January of 2022 to January of 2021, because factors have changed,” Meulman said. One of the changing factors is testing volume: more people than ever are getting tested in San Mateo County and across the state. More testing means more cases detected. He said that looking at case trends week to week can help give a sense of whether COVID risk is increasing or decreasing, but it may not be as useful to compare to last year’s data.
“We can still look at those trends to help give us a sense of what’s going on in the community, recognizing that now and really never has it been a full accounting of disease transmission but a marker of it,” Meulman said. This is no surprise for public health officials like Marc Meulman, director of public health, policy, and planning at San Mateo County Health.
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