Answer: Question 1: Is the average return for PayPal Holdings stock higher after a drop? Case 1: PayPal Holdings stock drops by -5% or more in a week
More importantly, there is a 74.1% probability of a positive return over the next twenty-one trading days and a 76.8% probability of a positive excess return after a -5% change over five trading days. IF PYPL stock moved by -5% over five trading days, THEN over the next twenty-one trading days, PYPL stock moves an average of 5.8%, which implies an excess return of 3.7% compared to the S&P500.
Some Fun Scenarios, FAQs & Making Sense of PayPal Holdings Stock Movements MACHINE LEARNING ENGINE – try it yourself:
In comparison, the S&P 500 has an average return of 3.1% over the next 21 trading days under Case 1, and an average return of just 0.5% for Case 2 as detailed in our dashboard that details the average return for the S&P 500 after a fall or rise. Try the Trefis machine learning engine above to see for yourself how PayPal Holdings’ stock is likely to behave after any specific gain or loss over a period. PYPL stock fares better after Case 1, with an average return of 5.8% over the next month (21 trading days) under Case 1 (where the stock has just suffered a 5% loss over the previous week), versus, an average return of 4.2% for Case 2.
Is the average return for PayPal Holdings stock higher over the subsequent month after Case 1 or Case 2? Case 2: PayPal Holdings stock rises by 5% or more in a week
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